By the Numbers
The Great and Powerful Kos has a couple of nice maps showing SUSA's 50 state polling data. Even given that some of the data is old, it's still worth noting that McCain loses to either Clinton or Obama. I'm not sure I necessarily buy that Obama could put North Dakota into play, or that Clinton would lose Washington, Oregon and Michigan, but still it's an interesting view from eight months out.
UPDATE: A more nuanced view of the SUSA numbers. As much as I'd like to believe it, I still have a hard time seeing either Obama or Clinton getting within a point of McCain in Texas. As a matter of fact, Texas is a pretty good canary in the coalmine for the GOP; if come summer polls consistently show the Democratic nominee within striking distance here, then it's going to be a blue tsunami.
Labels: 2008, Barack Obama, Elections, Hillary Clinton, President
2 Comments:
It's definitely the Dems' election to lose, but as you've said many times before, they have a knack for snatching defeat from the jaws of victory.
Yes, definately. And of course, it's a million years between now and November. Still, not a bad position to start off in, assuming the eventual nominee can at least start out with the same states Kerry & Gore carried.
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